Causality Analysis of South Africa Reserve Bank’s Monetary Policy Statements and Communication

Authors

  • Arnold Segawa University of the Witwatersrand

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.20525/ijfbs.v10i4.1418

Keywords:

central bank communication, South African Reserve Bank, Monetary Policy Committee statements, Flesch-Kincaid Grade Level score, Granger causality, Flesch Reading Ease Score

Abstract

This paper inspects whether the South Africa Reserve Bank’s (SARB) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) statements trigger have a causality with newspaper reports from the Mail and Guardian between 2010 and 2021. The study examines whether SARB’s post MPC statements’ readability is reciprocated in the subsequent Mail and Guardian newspaper articles. Using the Flesch Reading Ease Score and Flesch-Kincaid Grade Level score as the methodology, there is a systematic unpacking of both SARB’s MPC statements and newspaper reports from the Mail and Guardian which yield a dataset which is subsequently used to create a computation. This computation is then used to examine whether SARB’s MPC statements Granger cause the subsequent Mail and Guardian newspaper articles. Resultantly, the results show that there is no Granger causality between the SARB’s MPC statements and the Mail and Guardian’s Flesch Reading Ease Score and Flesch-Kincaid Grade Level score.

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Published

2021-11-03

How to Cite

Segawa, A. (2021). Causality Analysis of South Africa Reserve Bank’s Monetary Policy Statements and Communication. International Journal of Finance & Banking Studies (2147-4486), 10(4), 55–74. https://doi.org/10.20525/ijfbs.v10i4.1418