Analysis of global stock index, inflation and interest rates on the Indonesia Stock Exchange joint stock price index

Authors

  • Dahlia Pinem Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Pembangunan Nasional Veteran, Jakarta, Indonesia https://orcid.org/0009-0002-5597-6441
  • M.B. Nani Ariani Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Pembangunan Nasional Veteran, Jakarta, Indonesia https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3701-8776
  • Desmintari Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Pembangunan Nasional Veteran, Jakarta, Indonesia

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.20525/ijrbs.v12i3.2560

Keywords:

Global Stock Indices, Inflation, Interest rates

Abstract

This study examines the influence of global stock indices and macroeconomic conditions in Indonesia on the Jakarta Composite Index (JCI). The global stock indices analyzed in this study are the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Nikkei 225 (N225), Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite (SSE), Strait Singapore index. The macroeconomic indicators that analyzed in this study are the inflation rate, the US dollar exchange rate against the Indonesian rupiah, and the BI rate. This study was conducted using secondary data. The research period was 3 years for 36 months from January 2018 to December 2020. The data used in this study are secondary data with a sample collection method using Purposive Sampling against JCI. Data analysis in this study was carried out using Microsoft Office Excel 2016, as well as hypothesis testing using panel data regression analysis with the Eviews program version 10.0 with a significance level of 5%. Research Results The results showed that in the short term, Index DJIA, Nikkei Index 225, Interest rates positively affect the movement of JCI. This suggests that an increase in the DJIA index, Nikkei 225 Index, and interest rates will result in an increase in the JCI, While Shanghai Index, STI, Inflation does not affect the JCI.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Akua Miyanti, G. A. D., & Wiagustini, L. P. (2018). The Influence of Fed Interest Rates, Oil Prices, and Inflation on the Composite Stock Price Index (Ihsg) on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. E-Journal of Economics and Business of Udayana University, 5, 1261. https://doi.org/10.24843/eeb.2018.v07.i05.p02 DOI: https://doi.org/10.24843/EEB.2018.v07.i05.p02

Anggraini, F. N., & Nurhadi. (2019). The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Index, Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) Index, USD/IDR Exchange Rate, and BI Rate Influence the Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI) on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) for the 2015- 2018 period. Indonesian Business Journal, 10(1), 57-69.

Basuki & Prawoto. (2015). Regression Analysis in Economics & Business Research Equipped with the SPSS Eviews application. Issue 1, Depok: PT Rajagrafindo Persada.

Budi, L. S. (2019). Analysis of the Influence of Straits Times Singapore (STI) Index, Set Thai Index (Seti), Klci Malaysia (LSE), Psei Philipina, and Rupiah Exchange Rate on the Composite Stock Price Index on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2017. Journal of Management Science and Entrepreneurship, 3(1), 27-34.

Gumanti, T. A. (2011). Investment Management. Jakarta: Mitra Wacana Media.

Hartantio, V., & Yusbardini, Y. (2020). The Influence of Various Asian Stock Indices on the Composite Stock Price Index in2015-2019. Journal of Managerial and Entrepreneurship, 2(4), 1096. https://doi.org/10.24912/jmk.v2i4.9895 DOI: https://doi.org/10.24912/jmk.v2i4.9895

Hartono, J. (2015). Portfolio Theory and Investment Analysis. Yogyakarta. BPFE.

Herlianto, D., & Hafizh, L. (2020). The Influence of the Dow Jones Index, Nikkei 225, Shanghai Stock Exchange, and Straits Times Singapore Index on the Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI) on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). INOBIS: Indonesian Journal of Business Innovation and Management, 3(2), 211-229. https://doi.org/10.31842/jurnalinobis.v3i2.133 DOI: https://doi.org/10.31842/jurnalinobis.v3i2.133

Katti, S. W. B. (2015). The Influence of Macroeconomic Factors, Global Exchange Indices, and Foreign Stock Ownership on Stock Price Movements on the Indonesia Stock Exchange Siti Wardani Bakri Katti Zaenal Arifin University of Indonesia Management Masters Program ABSTRACT stock investors. Management Journal.

Ningsih, M. M., & Alert, I. (2018). The Influence of Bi Rate and Inflation on the Composite Stock Price Index (Study on Property, Real Estate, and Building Construction Indices, on the IDX Period 2013 - 2017). MANAGERIAL journal, 17(2), 247. https://doi.org/10.17509/manajerial.v17i2.11664 DOI: https://doi.org/10.17509/manajerial.v17i2.11664

Nugraha, I. W., & Dewi, M. R. (2015). Influence of Sbi Interest Rates, Exchange Rates, and World Market Indices on Ihsg In Bei. Journal of Management, Business Strategy and Entrepreneurship, 9(1), 33-41.

Oktarina, D. (2016). The influence of several global stock indices and macroeconomic indicators on the movement of JCI. Journal of Business & Banking, 5(2), 163. https://doi.org/10.14414/jbb.v5i2.701 DOI: https://doi.org/10.14414/jbb.v5i2.701

Ratnaningtyas, H. (2020). The Influence of Foreign Direct Investment, Inflation, Bi Rate and Rupiah Exchange Rate on the Composite Stock Price Index of the Indonesia Stock Exchange Period Mabiska Journal, 5, 1-15. https://www.stiebpkp.id/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/1-15_Heny-Ratnaningtyas_KAN.pdf

Sari, W. I. (2019). Analysis of Inflation Influence, SBI Interest Rate, Exchange Rate on Return LQ 45 and its Impact on the Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI) on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). SECURITIES journal (Stock, Economy, Finance And Investment), 3(1), 65. https://doi.org/10.32493/skt.v3i1.3263 DOI: https://doi.org/10.32493/skt.v3i1.3263

Setiawan, K., & Mulyani, E. (2020). The Influence of Changes in Rupiah Exchange Rate, Inflation Rate, and International Exchange Index on the Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI) on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). Ecogen Journal, 3(1), 7. https://doi.org/10.24036/jmpe.v3i1.8482 DOI: https://doi.org/10.24036/jmpe.v3i1.8482

Situngkir, T. L. (2019). The Influence of the Dow Jones Index, Strait Time , and Hang Sheng on the Combined Stock Price Index with the Error Correction Model Approach. Independent Journal: Science, Arts, and Technology, 3(2),307-313. https://doi.org/10.33753/mandiri.v3i2.92 DOI: https://doi.org/10.33753/mandiri.v3i2.92

Subagyo, F. N. I., Febriana, T., & Amalia, N. (2018). The Influence of Gross Domestic Product, Inflation, and Bi Rate on the Composite Stock Price Index in Indonesia in 2010-2017. Journal of Economic and Business Research, 3(2), 84-90. https://doi.org/10.33633/jpeb.v3i2.2299 DOI: https://doi.org/10.33633/jpeb.v3i2.2299

Suteja, J., & Gunardi, A. (2016). Investment and Portfolio Management. Bandung: PT Refika Aditama.

Tammu, R. G. (2020). Inflation Influence and Bank Indonesia Interest Rates on the Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI) 2014 – 2018. JEMMA (Journal of Economic, Management and Accounting), 3(1), 62. https://doi.org/10.35914/jemma.v3i1.343 DOI: https://doi.org/10.35914/jemma.v3i1.343

Widoatmodjo, Sawidji. (2015). Capital Market Knowledge: For Context Indonesia. Jakarta: Gramedia.

Wicaksono, I. S., & Yasa, G. W. (2017). Influence of Fed Rate, Dow Jones Index, Nikkei 225, Hang

Zuhri, S., Hufron, M., & Mustapita, A. F. (2019). The Influence of Inflation, Exchange Rates, and the BI Rate on the Indonesian Stock Exchange (IDX) Composite Stock Price Index for the 2014-2018 period. Scientific Journal of Management Research, 9(04).

Downloads

Published

2023-05-06

How to Cite

Dahlia Pinem, Ariani, M. N., & Desmintari. (2023). Analysis of global stock index, inflation and interest rates on the Indonesia Stock Exchange joint stock price index. International Journal of Research in Business and Social Science (2147- 4478), 12(3), 308–317. https://doi.org/10.20525/ijrbs.v12i3.2560

Issue

Section

Financial and Economic Studies